Haluk Dinçer

The speaker examines the impact of Middle East tensions on global energy markets and supply security risks.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker evaluates Turkey's disinflation process, budget performance, and macroeconomic resilience capacity.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker analyzes the Central Bank's March interest rate decision, monetary policy tools, and interest rate expectations in the market.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker analyzes the compatibility of the 2026 year-end inflation target of 16% with market realities and the business world's alternative expectation of around 20%.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker interprets the path the Central Bank will follow after the rate cut in January and expectations regarding the continuity of the tight monetary policy stance.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker evaluates the rise in the CDS risk premium from 200 to 214 and its high level compared to peer countries.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker discusses the potential Fed chair change in May, the impact of the Trump administration, and the implications of this situation for emerging markets.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker analyzes that divergences within NATO will drive European countries to increase defense spending, potentially creating export opportunities for Turkish defense companies.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker evaluates the effects of the tension between the Trump administration and Fed Chair Powell on Central Bank independence and the uncertainty risks it creates for global markets.

* Does not constitute investment advice

The speaker regards the retreat of Turkey's risk premium to 200 basis points as positive but emphasizes that it needs to fall to the 100-150 band for investment-grade status.

* Does not constitute investment advice